HI6007 Faculty Of Higher Education01 : Solution Essays

Question:

  1. Compute the missing values and fill in the blanks in the above table. Use α = .01 to determine if there is any significant difference among the means.
  2. How many groups have there been in this problem?
  3. What has been the total number of observations?

Use the output shown above and write an equation that can be used to predict the price of the stock.

  1. Interpret the coefficients of the estimated regression equation that you found in part (a).
  2. At 95% confidence, determine which variables are significant and which are not.

If on a given day, the number of shares of the company that were sold was 94,500 and the volume of exchange on the New York Stock Exchange was 16 million, what would you expect the price of the stock to be?

 

Answer:

Part a

Table 1: ANOVA table

Source of Variation

Sum of squares

Degrees of Freedom

Mean Square

F

Between treatments

90

3

 

 

Within treatments (Error)

120

20

 

 

Total

= 90 + 120

= 210

= 3+20

=23

 

 

The p-value for the F-value at 3,20 degrees of freedom is 0.0095. At 0.01 level of significance since p-value is less hence we reject the NULL hypothesis.

Part b

There are 4 groups in the above problem.

Number of Groups = degrees of freedom (between treatment) + 1 = 3+1 = 4

Part c

There are 21 observations in the above problem.

Number of observations = degrees of freedom (within treatment) + 1=20+1 = 21

Answer 2

Table 2: Coefficients of Regression Equation

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Intercept

136

13.76

9.881

0.000

Year (t)

39.18

2.22

17.664

0.000

From table 2 the trend of the number of units sold by the auto manufacturer can be written as:

  • Number of Units sold (000s) = 136 + 39.18*Year

Thus, in the 11th year the number of units sold = 136+39.18*11 = 566.98 ≈ 567 (000s)

Trend of the number of units sold by major auto manufacturer

The trend shows that the number of units that can be sold by the auto manufacturer = 567000

Answer 3

Part a

ANOVA

 

 

 

 

 

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

59.89145

59.89145

29.62415

0.002842

Residual

5

10.10855

2.021711

 

 

Total

6

70

 

 

 

At 0.01 level of significance there is statistically significant relationship between price and the number of flash drives sold, p-value =0.0028.

Part b

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Intercept

40.033

1.070

37.4309

0.0000

Units sold (y)

-1.174

0.216

-5.4428

0.0028

At 0.01 level of significance there is statistically significant relationship between price and the number of flash drives sold, p-value =0.0028.

 

Answer 4

Source of Variation

Sum of Squares

Degrees of Freedom

Mean Square

F

Between treatments

= 4*800 = 3200

= 5 – 1 = 4

800.00

 

Within treatments (Error)

= 10600 – 3200 = 7400

= 14 – 1 = 13

 

 

Total

10600

17

 

 

Answer 5

ANOVA

 

 

 

 

 

 

Source of Variation

SS

df

MS

F

P-value

F crit

Between Groups

324

2

162

40.500

0.000

4.256

Within Groups

36

9

4

 

 

 

Total

360

11

 

 

 

 

Null Hypothesis: The average sales of the three stores are equal

Alternate Hypothesis: The average sales of at least one of the stores is different

At 0.05 level of significance we reject the Null Hypothesis, p-value (0.000). Thus, the sales of the three stores are not similar, there are significant differences in the average sales of the three stores.

Answer 6

Part a

Null Hypothesis: The average sales of the three boxes are equal

Alternate Hypothesis: The average sales of at least one of the boxes is different

Part b

ANOVA

 

 

 

 

 

 

Source of Variation

SS

df

MS

F

P-value

F crit

Between Groups

24467.2

2

12233.6000

53.7111

0.000

3.8853

Within Groups

2733.2

12

227.7667

 

 

 

Total

27200.4

14

 

 

 

 

Part c

At 0.05 level of significance we reject the Null Hypothesis, p-value (0.000). Thus, the sales of the three boxes are not similar.  

Answer 7

 

Brand A

Brand B

Brand C

Average Mileage

37

38

33

Sample Variance

3

4

2

Count

10

10

10

The total average = 37*10+38*10+33*10 = 370+380+330 = 1080

The total average mileage =

Thus SSBetween Groups = 10*(37 – 36)2+10*(38 – 36)2+10*(33 – 36)2  = 140

SSError = 10*3+10*4+10*2 = 90

ANOVA

 

 

 

 

Source of Variation

SS

df

MS

F

Between Groups

140

2

 

 

Within Groups

90

=29 – 2 = 27

 

 

Total

210

29

 

 

F-crit from f-table with 2, 29 at 0.05 level of significance = 3.33

Since, F-value > F-crit, hence at 0.05 level of significance there is sufficient evidence to reject Null Hypothesis. Thus, there is statistically significant differences in the mean mileage of the tyres.

Answer 8

Part a

Day

Tips

Simple Moving average

1

18

 

2

22

19

3

17

19

4

18

21

5

28

22

6

20

20

7

12

 

Part b

Days (x)

Forecast (Y)

Y’

Y-Y’

(Y-Y’)2

1

19

19.2

-0.2

0.04

2

19

19.7

-0.7

0.49

3

21

20.2

0.8

0.64

4

22

20.7

1.3

1.69

5

20

21.2

-1.2

1.44

 

 

 

0.00

0.86

The mean square error of the forecast is 0.86

Part c

The mean absolute deviation of the forecast is 0.00

Answer 9

Part a

Source of Variation

Degrees of Freedom

Sum of Squares

Mean Square

F

Regression

4

283940.60

70985.15 (MSS)

2.055

Error

18

621735.14

34540.84

 

Total

22

905675.74 (TSS)

 

 

The coefficient of determination =

From the regression model it can be said that 7.84% of the variability in sales of “Very Fresh Juice Company” can be predicted from the independent variables – “price per unit”, “competitor’s price”, “advertising” and “type of container.”

Part b

The corresponding p-value for F is 0.129. At 0.05 level of significance we do not have sufficient evidence to reject Null Hypothesis. Hence, the model is statistically not significant.

Significance value can be found in MS-EXCEL by =F.DIST.RT(2.055,4,18)

Part c

The total sample size = 23 (Total +1)

Answer 10

ANOVA

 

 

 

 

 

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

2

118.8474369

59.4237

40.9216

0.000

Residual

9

13.0692

1.4521

 

 

Total

11

131.9166667

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

 

Intercept

118.5059

33.5753

3.5296

0.0064

 

x1

-0.0163

0.0315

-0.5171

0.6176

 

x2

-1.5726

0.3590

-4.3807

0.0018

 

Part a

The price of the stock can be predicted from the equation

  • y = 118.5059 – 0.0163*x1– 1.5726*x2

Part b

From the regression equation it can be said that:

  1. For every 100 stocks of company sold the price of Rawlon Inc. stock would decrease by 0.0163
  2. For every million increase in exchange of the New York Stock Exchange the price of Rawlon Inc. Stock would decrease by 1.5726.

Part c

At 95% confidence level the volume of exchange of New York stock exchange is statistically significant (p-value = 0.0018).

At 95% confidence level the number of shares sold by Rawlon Inc. is statistically not significant (p-value = 0.6176).

 

Part d

For 94500 stocks sold and 16million the volume of exchange on the New York Stock Exchange the price of the stock would be:  

  • y = 118.5059 – 0.0163*x1– 1.5726*x2
  • y =118.5059 – 0.0163*945 – 1.5726*16
  • y = 77.95 

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