Health & Medical Question

Unit 4: Current Events Discussion

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Overview

This discussion is about intellectual property violations. Conduct research on current events relating to our topic and then share your findings in text or in a brief audio submission, no longer than 3 to 4 minutes. Review peers’ findings and then engage in an active discussion to learn more about the topic at hand.

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Resources

  • How to create audio presentations
  • How do I subscribe to a discussion podcast as a student? (Links to an external site.)
  • Gambino, M. (2011, June 21). Ten Famous Intellectual Property Disputes. (Links to an external site.)
  • Due Date

  • Initial post by 11:59 p.m., Thursday, CT.
  • Response post(s) by 11:59 p.m., Sunday, CT.
  • Directions

  • Read chapters 7 & 8
  • Research current events depicting intellectual property violations.
  • Initial PostProvide the name of your sourceProvide an overview of the issue at handSummarize how the violation was handledShare applicable financial information (for example: Company Y lost $X in sales)Analyze the legal ramifications of the situation and discuss concepts from the class that relate to the violation.Support your response with at least one credible reference.Note: Citations may be in text to accompany the audio submission.Response Posts Select two peers to respond to.Explain why you agree or disagree with their analysis.Support your responses with credible references, where applicable. Note: Citations may be in text to accompany the audio submissionUnit 4: Midterm Case StudyDue Sunday by 11:59pmPoints 150Submitting an external toolOverviewThe midterm is based on a mini-case from your textbook and concepts from past units. Note that Turnitin is enabled for this midterm.RequirementsFinal document should be at least 3-5 pages, which does not include the cover and reference pages.Paper should be APA format.ResourcesPlease refer to the Technology policies in the Course Overview to familiarize yourself with how the originality reporting tool works.Mini-caseRefer to “The Globalization of Walmart” on page 262-263 of your textbook. DirectionsAnswer the 3 questions stated at the end of the case study.Then identify three concepts from Units 1 through 4, that relate to the information in the case study.Briefly explain the concepts Explain how the concepts relate to the case study contentExplain how the concepts helped to solve a problem within the case study  Because learning changes everything.®
    Economic and
    Socioeconomi
    c Forces
    Module 7
    © 2020 McGraw Hill. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom.
    No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw Hill.
    Learning Objectives
    7-1
    Explain the purpose of economic analyses.
    7-2
    Compare different categories of countries, based on
    levels of national economic development.
    7-3
    Outline the dimensions used to describe the economy
    and their indicators.
    7-4
    Discuss the socioeconomic dimensions of economies
    and the indicators used to assess them.
    © McGraw Hill
    Two Emerging Asian Superpowers: The
    China-versus-India Development Race
    Representing the largest populations on the planet, China
    and India are competing with each other for wealth and
    influence. Economically, China leads in terms of economic
    development. But some believe that India has advantages in
    the long run in terms of English fluency and a younger
    demographic.
    To date, India’s strength has been in services while China
    has been the manufacturing powerhouse. Both countries
    have become major destinations for outsourcing.
    © McGraw Hill
    3
    International Economic Analyses
    1
    Economic Analyses for Multinationals
    • More complex than those for a purely domestic firm.
    • There are many economies to consider instead of just one, there
    are interactions between them, and values are highly divergent.
    • Purpose is to assess the overall outlook for the economy
    and the impact of economic changes on the firm.
    • Should include economic data on actual and prospective
    markets.
    © McGraw Hill
    4
    Figure 7.1 Impact of Economic Forecast on
    Firm’s Functional Areas
    Access the text alternative for slide images.
    © McGraw Hill
    5
    International Economic Analyses
    2
    Foreign Environment
    • Includes all the uncontrollable forces originating outside
    the home country that surround and influence the firm.
    • The interaction between domestic and foreign
    environmental forces or between sets of foreign
    environmental forces.
    © McGraw Hill
    6
    Levels of Economic Development
    1
    Gross Domestic Product
    • The total monetary value of all goods and services
    produced within a nation.
    Gross National Income (GNI)
    • The total value of all income generated by the residents of
    a nation, including both the domestic production of goods
    and services and income from abroad.
    © McGraw Hill
    7
    Levels of Economic Development
    2
    GNI per Captia
    • High-income economies: GNI per capita of $12,056 or
    more.
    • Middle-income economies: GNI per capita of over $995
    but less than $12,056, which can be further divided into:
    • Upper-middle-income economies: GNI per capita of $3,896 up to
    $12,055.
    • Lower-middle-income economies: GNI per capita over $996 up to
    $3,895.
    • Low-income economies: GNI per capita of $995 or less.
    © McGraw Hill
    8
    Levels of Economic Development
    3
    Developing Economies
    • A classification for the world’s lower-income nations, which
    have less technically developed infrastructures and lower
    living standards.
    Developed Economies
    • A classification for high-income industrialized nations,
    which have high living standards and the most technically
    developed infrastructures.
    © McGraw Hill
    9
    Table 7.1 Characteristics of Developed
    Economies
    1

    Per capita gross national income of $12,056 or more (World Bank criterion).

    A high material standard of living, high quality of life index, and a substantial
    middle class.

    Frequent application of the most advanced production techniques and
    equipment.

    A large base of productive capital, sophisticated financial markets and banking
    systems, and vigorous international trade in a range of sectors.

    A very small share of total output coming from agriculture and a declining
    share for manufacturing.

    Well-established governmental and legal systems.

    Plentiful educational opportunities and low illiteracy.

    Relatively low levels of unemployment or underemployment.

    Adequate or high levels of nutrition and access to health care.
    © McGraw Hill
    10
    Table 7.1 Characteristics of Developing
    Economies
    2

    Per capita gross national income of less than $12,056 (World Bank criterion).

    A moderate to low material standard of living and quality of life index, regional dualism
    reflecting a high productivity and incomes in some regions and little economic development in
    others, unequal distribution of income with a very small middle class.

    Technological dualism, meaning the presence of a mix of firms employing the latest
    technology and companies using very primitive methods.

    Low savings rates, inadequate banking facilities, and high dependence on a few products for
    export, generally agricultural products or minerals.

    A relatively unproductive agricultural sector that provides a living for most of the population.

    Political instability and deficient governmental and legal systems.

    High illiteracy rate and few educational facilities.

    Disguised unemployment or underemployment (two people do a job one person could do).

    Widespread malnutrition and a wide range of health problems.

    Inhospitable topography, such as deserts, mountains, and tropical forests.
    © McGraw Hill
    11
    Levels of Economic Development
    4
    Emerging Market Economies
    • Economies with per-capita incomes in the low to middle
    range that are in a transition toward developed status.
    © McGraw Hill
    12
    Dimensions That Describe the Economy and
    Their Relevance for International Business
    1
    Measuring the Size of an Economy
    • GNI measures total value of all income.
    • GNI per capita indicates how advanced economy is but
    should be used with caution.
    © McGraw Hill
    13
    Critical Thinking Question
    What impacts do economic forecasts have on a
    firm’s functional areas?
    If management learns from the economic analysis of
    country A that wage rates are expected to increase
    by 10 percent next year, which functional areas of
    the firm will be concerned?
    Why will this be of concern to management?
    © McGraw Hill
    14
    Dimensions That Describe the Economy and
    Their Relevance for International Business
    2
    Purchasing Power Parity
    • A means of adjusting the exchange rates for two
    currencies so the currencies have equivalent purchasing
    power.
    Goods
    Thailand (baht)
    U.S. ($)
    Soap (bar)
    50
    1.25
    Rice (pound)
    35
    0.55
    Shoes (pair)
    905
    70.00
    Dress
    780
    85.00
    Socks (pair)
    95
    3.25
    1,865 baht
    $160.05
    Total
    © McGraw Hill
    15
    Table 7.2 GNI/Capita Based on UN ICP for Selected Countries
    © McGraw Hill
    Country
    GNI/Capita in US$ Converted at World
    Bank-Adjusted Exchange Rates
    GNI/Capita in US$ Based on
    Purchasing Power Parity
    Norway
    75,990
    63,530
    Qatar
    61,070
    128,060
    United States
    58,270
    60,200
    Canada
    42,870
    45,750
    United Kingdom
    40,530
    43,160
    Japan
    38,550
    45,470
    Saudi Arabia
    20,080
    54,770
    Turkey
    10,930
    27,550
    Malaysia
    9,650
    28,650
    Russian Federation
    9,232
    24,893
    China
    8,690
    16,760
    Mexico
    8,610
    17,740
    Ecuador
    5,890
    11,350
    Iraq
    4,770
    17,010
    Nigeria
    2,080
    5,680
    India
    1,820
    7,060
    16
    Dimensions That Describe the Economy and
    Their Relevance for International Business
    3
    Atlas Conversion Factor
    • The arithmetic average of the current exchange rate and
    the exchange rates in the two preceding years, adjusted
    by the ratio of domestic inflation to the combined inflation
    rates of the euro zone, Japan, the United Kingdom, and
    the United States.
    © McGraw Hill
    17
    Dimensions That Describe the Economy and
    Their Relevance for International Business
    4
    Underground Economy
    • The part of a nation’s income that, because of un-reporting
    or underreporting, is not measured by official statistics.
    • Includes undeclared production of legal and illegal goods
    and services, their corresponding activities (e.g., money
    laundering), and concealed income in kind (barter).
    © McGraw Hill
    18
    Figure 7.3 Shadow Economies as a Percentage
    of GDP in Selected Countries 2017
    Sources: Leandro Medina and Friedrich Schneider, “Shadow Economies Around the World: What Did We Learn Over the Last 20 Years?” International Monetary Fund, Working
    Paper WP/18/17, January 2018, https://www.imf.org, accessed October 2, 2018; and Niall McCarthy, “The Countries with the Largest Shadow Economies,” Forbes,
    https://www.forbes.com, accessed September 20, 2018.
    Access the text alternative for slide images.
    © McGraw Hill
    19
    Dimensions That Describe the Economy and
    Their Relevance for International Business
    5
    Economic Growth Rate
    • GNI and GNI per capita only provide a snapshot of an
    economy.
    • Managers should supplement their analyses by assessing
    economic growth rates as measures of an economy’s
    absolute size.
    • Rapid and rising rates imply consumer demand.
    © McGraw Hill
    20
    Dimensions That Describe the Economy and
    Their Relevance for International Business
    6
    Income Distribution
    • A measure of how a nation’s income is apportioned among
    its people.
    GINI Index
    • A measure of the degree to which family income within a
    country is distributed equally.
    • Wide range around the world.
    © McGraw Hill
    21
    Dimensions That Describe the Economy and
    Their Relevance for International Business
    7
    Private Consumption
    • Disposable income: after-tax personal income.
    • Discretionary income: amount of income left after paying
    taxes and making essential purchases.
    Personal Consumption
    • Ownership of goods.
    • Consumption of key materials.
    © McGraw Hill
    22
    Dimensions That Describe the Economy and
    Their Relevance for International Business
    8
    Unit Labor Costs
    • Total direct labor costs divided by units produced.
    • Low or slowly rising unit labor costs may indicate
    opportunity to lower production costs and may indicate
    locations of new competition in world markets.
    • Changes in wage rates may cause companies to change
    their international sources of supply.
    • Labor costs based on compensation, productivity, and
    exchange rates.
    © McGraw Hill
    23
    Figure 7.4 Index of Average Hourly Compensation Costs
    in Manufacturing for Selected Countries, US Dollars
    Basis 2000 to 2016
    Note: Compensation costs include direct pay, social insurance expenditures, and labor-related taxes.
    Access the text alternative for slide images.
    © McGraw Hill
    24
    Dimensions That Describe the Economy and
    Their Relevance for International Business
    9
    Other Economic Dimensions
    • Large and growing international debts of middle- and lowincome nations cause problems for their governments and
    for multinational firms.
    • Large foreign debts may hinder access to foreign currency
    to pay for imports billed in foreign currency, if such
    currency is being used to pay foreign debt, hindering
    access to raw materials, spare parts, and other inputs.
    © McGraw Hill
    25
    Dimensions That Describe the Economy and
    Their Relevance for International Business
    10
    Other Economic Dimensions continued
    • High debt may cause governments to impose price
    controls, cut government spending, and impose wage
    controls, sometimes encouraging political crises.
    • Scarcity of foreign exchange may hinder companies trying
    to export products to such nations, as indebted
    governments may impose import restrictions to conserve
    their foreign exchange for repayment of debt.
    • Vertical integration is the production by a firm of inputs for
    its own manufacturing processes.
    © McGraw Hill
    26
    Global Debate
    This debate centers around the subject of the best way to
    measure a nation’s development—through income or quality
    of life? Two basic approaches to assessing development (1)
    focus on the economy and (2) take a closer look at people
    and the choices and options open to them for healthy,
    fulfilling lives.
    1. Which approach to measuring development do you think would be
    most useful for international managers to follow in assessing a
    potential market’s level of development?
    2. Do you agree or disagree with former U.S. attorney and presidential
    candidate Robert F. Kennedy’s assertions that an approach to
    understanding development that relies on market data is not really
    what we need to know to understand our development as people
    (and markets)?
    © McGraw Hill
    27
    Table 7.7 Major International Debtors among
    Developing Countries, Total External Stock of Debt in
    Billions of Dollars
    Country
    1980
    1990
    2000
    2010
    2016
    2016 Debt as Percentage
    of 1980 Debt
    Argentina
    27
    63
    150
    126
    191
    707%
    Brazil
    72
    120
    243
    352
    543
    754
    China
    5
    55
    146
    735
    1429
    28,580
    India
    21
    84
    101
    290
    456
    2,171
    Indonesia
    21
    70
    144
    198
    316
    1,504
    Mexico
    58
    105
    153
    246
    423
    729
    Turkey
    19
    49
    117
    301
    406
    2,136
    Source: World Bank, “External Debt Stocks, Total (DOD, Current US$),” https://data.worldbank.org, accessed October 2, 2018.
    © McGraw Hill
    28
    Socioeconomic Dimensions of the Economy and
    Their Relevance for International Business
    1
    Total Population
    • The most general indicator of potential market size.
    • First characteristic of the population that analysts
    examine.
    • Population size alone poor indicator of economic strength
    and market potential.
    © McGraw Hill
    29
    Figure 7.5 Population Growth of the World’s 10 MostPopulation Countries by 2050 (Millions of Inhabitants)
    Sources: “Population, Total,” The World Bank Group, September 20, 2018; and “The Twenty Most Populous Countries in 1950, 1999, and 2050,” United Nations
    Population Division, September 20, 2018.
    Access the text alternative for slide images.
    © McGraw Hill
    30
    Socioeconomic Dimensions of the Economy and
    Their Relevance for International Business
    2
    Age Distribution
    • Distribution of age groups within populations varies widely,
    but developing countries generally have younger
    populations than do industrial countries, due to higher
    birthrates.
    • Many countries experiencing a reduction in birth rates.
    • Early retirements and increased life spans straining social
    security systems.
    © McGraw Hill
    31
    Socioeconomic Dimensions of the Economy and
    Their Relevance for International Business
    3
    Population Density and Distribution
    • Population density: A measure of the number of
    inhabitants per area unit (inhabitants per square kilometer
    or square mile).
    • Population distribution: A measure of how the inhabitants
    are distributed over a nation’s area.
    • Rural-to-urban shift: The movement of a nation’s
    population from rural areas to cities.
    © McGraw Hill
    32
    Socioeconomic Dimensions of the Economy and
    Their Relevance for International Business
    4
    Other Socioeconomic Dimensions
    • Increase in number of working women increases labor
    supply and creates larger family incomes.
    • Divorce rates indicate formation of single-parent families.
    • Ethnic groups may require special considerations.
    © McGraw Hill
    33
    Get That Job! From Backpack to Briefcase
    Jason Jack Peters
    Jason Peters discusses his experiences in learning
    about new cultures and some of the techniques that
    students can use in order to gain a deeper
    understanding of the culture and business practices in
    other nations.

    © McGraw Hill
    Jason Peters says that he has learned that, for
    someone who wishes to develop international
    skills and experiences, the biggest challenge is
    oneself. Do you agree with this assertion? Why or
    why not? What do you think of his
    recommendations for addressing this challenge?
    Courtesy of Jack Peters
    34
    MiniCase
    The minicase “The Impact of Darawan’s Development Policy”
    explores the question of how a change in development strategy
    can affect a nation. In this case, the Industrias Globales company
    is planning to enter the Republic of Darawan to do business and
    the republic announces a new economic strategy. Pedro Garcia is
    the firm’s director of international operations.
    Imagine you are Pedro Garcia.
    1. Describe the two strategies for the CEO.
    2. Explain how the change in Darawan’s development strategy will
    affect the firm in many ways.
    3. What changes in its entry plans will the firm have to make?
    © McGraw Hill
    35
    Because learning changes everything.
    www.mheducation.com
    © 2020 McGraw Hill. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom.
    No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw Hill.
    ®
    Because learning changes everything.®
    The
    International
    Monetary
    System and
    Financial Forces
    Module 8
    © 2020 McGraw Hill. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom.
    No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw Hill.
    Learning Objectives
    8-1
    Describe the international monetary system’s history.
    8-2
    Describe today’s floating currency exchange rate
    system, including the IMF currency arrangements.
    8-3
    Describe the factors that influence exchange rate
    movement.
    8-4
    Discuss financial forces governments can exert.
    8-5
    Explain the significance of the balance of payments to
    international business decisions.
    © McGraw Hill
    How International Terrorism Gets Funded
    Security professionals study the way funds for terrorism are
    transferred across borders and governments send a
    message to the nonbank financial institutions that serve this
    threat.
    In Africa and the Middle East funds are transferred through
    hawala or hundi, which leaves few or no traces of the activity.
    In other countries, sales invoices are manipulated, or virtual
    currencies are used.
    International coordination efforts like the Financial Action
    Task Force on Money Laundering take measures to limit
    these actions.
    © McGraw Hill
    3
    The International Monetary System: A Brief
    History
    1
    The Gold Standard
    • A monetary system that defines the value of its currency in
    terms of a fixed amount of gold.
    • Established in Britain by Sir Isaac Newton in 1717.
    • Government does not have monetary flexibility.
    Gold often serves as a way to store
    value during crises.
    © McGraw Hill
    ©Ayala_studio/iStock/Getty Images
    4
    The International Monetary System: A Brief
    History
    2
    The Bretton Woods System
    • The international monetary system in place from 1945 to
    1971, with par value based on gold and the U.S. dollar.
    • Fixed exchange rates: currency’s value is tied to the value
    of another currency or gold.
    • Par value: stated value.
    © McGraw Hill
    5
    The International Monetary System: A Brief
    History
    3
    The Bretton Woods System continued
    • Reserves: Assets held by a nation’s central bank, used to
    back up government liabilities.
    • Triffin paradox: national currency that is also a reserve
    currency will eventually run a deficit, leading to lack of
    confidence in the reserve currency and a financial crisis.
    • Special drawing rights (SDR): the unit of account for the
    IMF and other international organizations.
    © McGraw Hill
    6
    The International Monetary System: A Brief
    History
    4
    The Central Reserve/National Currency Conflict
    • U.S. dollar most used central reserve since end of WWII.
    • Holding large amounts of U.S. dollars eventually means
    they will lose value (Triffin paradox).
    • IMF would like a non-national asset to become main
    reserve.
    © McGraw Hill
    7
    Critical Thinking Question
    Was the Bretton Woods system bound to fail? Why
    or why not?
    © McGraw Hill
    8
    The Floating Currency Exchange Rate System
    1
    Floating Exchange Rates
    • Determined by supply and demand that allow currency
    values to float against one another.
    • Jamaica Agreement established flexible exchange rates
    among IMF members.
    © McGraw Hill
    9
    The Floating Currency Exchange Rate System
    2
    Current Currency Arrangements
    • Exchange arrangement with no separate legal tender.
    • Currency board arrangement.
    • Conventional fixed-peg arrangement.
    • Stabilized arrangement: Pegged exchange rate within a
    horizontal band.
    © McGraw Hill
    10
    The Floating Currency Exchange Rate System
    3
    Current Currency Arrangements continued
    • Crawling peg.
    • Crawling band.
    • Managed floating.
    • Free floating exchange rates.
    © McGraw Hill
    11
    Table 8.1 Three-Tiered Categorization of IMF Exchange
    Rate Arrangements with Percentage of Users
    Exchange Rate Arrangement
    2009
    2013
    2017
    Hard Pegs
    No separate legal tender
    Currency board
    12.2
    5.3
    6.9
    13.1
    6.8
    6.3
    12.5
    6.8
    5.7
    Soft pegs
    Conventional peg
    Stabilized arrangement
    Crawling peg
    Crawl-like arrangement
    Pegged exchange rate within horizontal bands
    34.6
    22.3
    6.9
    2.7
    0.5
    2.1
    42.9
    23.6
    9.9
    1.0
    7.9
    0.5
    42.2
    22.4
    12.5
    1.6
    5.2
    0.5
    Floating
    Floating
    Free floating
    42.0
    24.5
    17.6
    34.0
    18.3
    15.7
    39.5
    19.8
    16.1
    Residual
    Other managed relationship
    11.2
    9.9
    9.4
    Source: International Monetary Fund, Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions, various years, https://www.imf.org, accessed
    October 4, 2018.
    © McGraw Hill
    12
    Table 8.2 Summary of the Monetary System
    System
    Gold
    Bretton Woods Fixed
    Gold Exchange
    Floating
    Pros
    Simple
    Widely trusted
    Mandated monetary
    discipline
    Fixed rate
    Good for trade growth
    Flexible (free/managed float,
    peg)
    Responsive to market forces
    Good for huge volume
    Cons
    Impractical with large
    trade flows
    Costly to hold
    Led to U.S. balance of
    payment deficit
    Led to U.S. government
    liabilities to foreign central
    banks
    Reduced U.S. gold reserves
    Causes widely swinging
    currency values
    Controlling
    Mechanism
    Gold flows: pricespecie-flow
    mechanism (Hume)
    Government adjusted rates
    against dollar
    Dollar constant against gold
    Market forces with some
    government intervention
    © McGraw Hill
    13
    The Floating Currency Exchange Rate System
    4
    The Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
    • Institution for central bankers.
    • Operates to build cooperation in order to foster monetary
    and financial stability.
    • Known as most discrete financial institution in the world.
    © McGraw Hill
    14
    Financial Forces: Fluctuating Currency Values
    1
    Fluctuating Currency Values
    • The major currencies are allowed by their central banks to
    fluctuate freely against each other.
    • U.S. dollar
    • British pound sterling
    • Japanese yen
    • Euro
    © McGraw Hill
    15
    Figure 8.1 Value of the Euro in Dollar Terms,
    1999 to 2018
    Source: “Euro Dollar Exchange Rate (EUR USD)—Historical Chart,” https://www.macrotrends.net, accessed October 4, 2018.
    Access the text alternative for slide images.
    © McGraw Hill
    16
    Financial Forces: Fluctuating Currency Values
    2
    Why Foreign Currency Exchange Occurs
    • Buyers and sellers want to do business in own currency to
    avoid risk that accompanies currency exchange.
    • Vehicle currency used as a vehicle for international trade
    or investment, such as diamond market uses U.S. dollar.
    • Intervention currency used to intervene in the foreign
    currency exchange markets.
    © McGraw Hill
    17
    Financial Forces: Fluctuating Currency Values
    4
    Exchange Rate Quotations and the FX Market
    • Reciprocal currency is quoted as dollars per unit of
    currency instead of in units of currency per dollar.
    • Spot rate is the exchange rate between two currencies for
    delivery within two business days.
    © McGraw Hill
    18
    Financial Forces: Fluctuating Currency Values
    5
    Exchange Rate Quotations and the FX Market
    continued
    • Forward currency market for currency contracts
    deliverable 30, 60, 90, or 180 days in the future.
    • Forward rate is exchange rate between two currencies for
    delivery in the future, usually 30, 60, 90, or 180 days.
    © McGraw Hill
    19
    Financial Forces: Fluctuating Currency Values
    6
    Exchange Rate Quotations and the FX Market
    continued
    • Bid price is highest-priced buy order currently in the
    market.
    • Ask price is lowest-priced sell order currently in the
    market.
    © McGraw Hill
    20
    Financial Forces: Fluctuating Currency Values
    7
    Causes of Exchange Rate Movement
    • Monetary policies control the amount of money in
    circulation and its growth rate.
    • Fiscal policies address the collecting and spending of
    money by the government.
    • Law of one price concept says that in an efficient market,
    like products will have like prices.
    © McGraw Hill
    21
    Financial Forces: Fluctuating Currency Values
    8
    Causes of Exchange Rate Movement continued
    • Arbitrage is the process of buying and selling
    instantaneously to make profit with no risk.
    • Fisher effect shows relationship between real and nominal
    interest rates.
    • The real interest rate will be the nominal interest rate minus the
    expected rate of inflation.
    © McGraw Hill
    22
    Financial Forces: Fluctuating Currency Values
    9
    Causes of Exchange Rate Movement continued
    • International Fisher effect says the interest rate
    differentials for any two currencies will reflect the expected
    change in their exchange rates.
    • Purchasing power parity is the amount of adjustment that
    must be made in the exchange rates for two currencies for
    them to have equivalent purchasing power.
    © McGraw Hill
    23
    Global Debate
    This debate centers around the subject of fixed foreign
    exchange rates and the question of whether returning to the
    gold standard is a good idea.
    It appears that we have gone from the thing we valued, gold
    as a currency, to a currency that operated as a proxy for
    gold, to currencies that float against one another in a largely
    free float, hinged not to gold but to our faith in the monetary
    system.
    1. If the SDR were used, would a viable fixed-rate regime be possible or
    not?
    2. Given the inclusion of the SDR, outline the pro and con arguments for
    a fixed-rate regime.
    © McGraw Hill
    24
    Financial Forces: Fluctuating Currency Values
    10
    Exchange Rate Forecasting
    • Efficient market approach is assumption that current
    market prices fully reflect all available relevant information.
    • Random walk hypothesis is assumption that the
    unpredictability of factors suggests that the best predictor
    of tomorrow’s prices is today’s prices.
    © McGraw Hill
    25
    Financial Forces: Fluctuating Currency Values
    11
    Exchange Rate Forecasting continued
    • Fundamental approach is based on econometric models
    that attempt to capture the variables and their correct
    relationships.
    • Technical analysis analyzes date for trends and then
    projects these trends forward.
    © McGraw Hill
    26
    Financial Forces Government Can Exert
    1
    Currency Exchange Controls
    • Governments can control currency exchange of their
    currency and other currencies within their borders.
    • Motivation is to manage foreign reserves.
    • With currency controls, exchange rates usually above
    open market rates.
    © McGraw Hill
    27
    Financial Forces Government Can Exert
    2
    Currency Exchange Controls
    continued
    • Convertible currencies can be
    exchanged for other currencies
    without restrictions.
    • Nonconvertible currencies value
    is arbitrarily fixed typically at a
    rate higher than its value in the
    free market and government
    imposes exchange controls.
    Foreign exchange in action.
    © McGraw Hill
    ©Mike Clarke/AFP/Getty Images
    28
    Financial Forces Government Can Exert
    3
    Taxation
    • Effective tax management can yield a competitive
    advantage.
    • Three types of taxation:
    1. Income tax
    2. Value-added tax (VAT)
    3. Withholding tax
    © McGraw Hill
    29
    Figure 8.2 Comparisons of Corporate Tax Rates,
    G20 Nations, 2018
    Source: “List of Countries by Corporate Tax Rate/G20,” Trading Economics, 2018, https://tradingeconomics.com.
    Access the text alternative for slide images.
    © McGraw Hill
    30
    Financial Forces Government Can Exert
    4
    Inflation and Interest Rates
    • Inflation is a sustained increase in prices.
    • Determines real cost of borrowing in capital markets.
    • Rising rates encourage borrowing.
    • Inflated currencies tend to weaken.
    • Interest rates rise with inflation.
    • Inflation rates cause the cost of the goods and services to
    rise, so they become less competitive globally.
    © McGraw Hill
    31
    Balance of Payments
    1
    BOP
    • A record of a country’s transactions with the rest of the
    world.
    • Shows flow of capital in and out of the country.
    • Reveals demand for a country’s currency.
    © McGraw Hill
    32
    Balance of Payments
    2
    BOP Accounts
    • Use double-entry bookkeeping.
    • Payments to other countries are debits.
    • Payments from other countries are credits.
    © McGraw Hill
    33
    Balance of Payments
    3
    Deficits and Surpluses in BOP Accounts
    • Current account tracks tangible goods such as services
    and intangibles such as aid.
    • Capital account tracks financial assets and liabilities, direct
    investment, portfolio investment, short-term capital flows.
    • Official reserves reflect gold imports and exports.
    © McGraw Hill
    34
    Balance of Payments
    4
    Deficits and Surpluses in BOP Accounts continued
    • Current account deficit may mean economic problems
    such as inflation OR that demand into the country exceeds
    outward flows.
    • To understand deficit, you must look at total picture.
    © McGraw Hill
    35
    Get That Job! From Backpack to Briefcase
    Angela Schmitz
    Angela Schmitz discusses her summer job in which
    she spent eight weeks working for Acción Humana in
    Guatemala. While there she did graphic design and
    website management, and she also taught four
    English language classes. Her work area consisted
    of three desks in a small room that was just two feet
    from the boss’s home. She experienced cultural
    difference including starting meetings 4 hours late!
    This experience helped her in getting future
    internships and jobs.

    © McGraw Hill
    Schmitz said that her experience in Guatemala
    helped her to get other internships and jobs.
    What might an employer look for in a person that
    has had such an experience abroad?
    Courtesy of Angela Schmitz
    36
    MiniCase
    The minicase “SDR Exchange Risk” discusses the Asian
    Development Bank and its use of making loans in SDR
    instead of dollars or euros.
    1. Why would ADB hold SDR instead of dollars or euros?
    2. What are the currency amounts that make up the SDR?
    © McGraw Hill
    37
    Because learning changes everything.
    www.mheducation.com
    © 2020 McGraw Hill. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom.
    No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw Hill.
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